Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000171 0.000185 0.000199 0.000215 0.000234 0.000253 0.000276
2024-10-20 0.000147 0.000166 0.000187 0.000213 0.000245 0.000281 0.000326
2024-10-27 0.000137 0.000159 0.000185 0.000219 0.000260 0.000311 0.000380
2024-11-03 0.000124 0.000148 0.000176 0.000213 0.000261 0.000323 0.000409
2024-11-10 0.000115 0.000140 0.000170 0.000210 0.000264 0.000336 0.000442
2024-11-17 0.000107 0.000132 0.000163 0.000206 0.000266 0.000347 0.000470
2024-11-24 0.000102 0.000127 0.000160 0.000206 0.000272 0.000364 0.000510
2024-12-01 0.000097 0.000123 0.000157 0.000205 0.000276 0.000379 0.000548
2024-12-08 0.000094 0.000120 0.000156 0.000208 0.000285 0.000401 0.000599
2024-12-15 0.000090 0.000116 0.000151 0.000205 0.000286 0.000411 0.000630
2024-12-22 0.000086 0.000113 0.000149 0.000205 0.000291 0.000427 0.000675
2024-12-29 0.000084 0.000111 0.000148 0.000206 0.000298 0.000447 0.000729
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000109 0.000148 0.000209 0.000309 0.000475 0.000803
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000105 0.000144 0.000206 0.000310 0.000488 0.000849
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000105 0.000145 0.000211 0.000325 0.000525 0.000951
2025-01-26 0.000073 0.000100 0.000140 0.000206 0.000321 0.000528 0.000982
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000097 0.000136 0.000203 0.000321 0.000539 0.001031
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000093 0.000133 0.000200 0.000319 0.000545 0.001071
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000091 0.000131 0.000200 0.000324 0.000565 0.001148
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000089 0.000129 0.000199 0.000328 0.000583 0.001222
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000088 0.000129 0.000201 0.000337 0.000613 0.001333
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000086 0.000126 0.000198 0.000336 0.000622 0.001391
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000084 0.000125 0.000198 0.000341 0.000644 0.001487